《IT項目量化管理——細化、量化與圖形化最佳實踐》是清華大學出版社於2014年12月1日出版的圖書，作者是曹濟。
基本介紹
- 書名：IT項目量化管理——細化、量化與圖形化最佳實踐
- 作者：曹濟
- 出版社：清華大學出版社
- 出版時間：2014年12月1日
- 定價：59 元
- 開本：16 開
- 裝幀：平裝
- ISBN：9787302378488
- 印次：1-2
- 印刷日期：2019年12月
- 紙 張：膠版紙
內容簡介,圖書目錄,
內容簡介
本書結合 IT項目的特點，通過細化、量化、圖形化的方法全面解讀 IT項目管理領域的量化管理實踐方法。
本書上篇為量化管理的方法篇，下篇為量化管理的套用篇。方法篇包含第 1～11章的內容，系統地介紹了“細化、量化、圖形化”的量化管理體系，對每類細化方法、量化方法和圖形化方法均輔以相應的 IT項目管理領域實例進行說明。
套用篇由第 12～18章的內容組成，描述了量化管理方法在 IT項目管理主要領域的典型套用，這些領域包括 IT項目管理可行性分析、需求管理、進度管理、成本管理、質量管理、人員管理和風險管理 7個領域。讀者對這些典型方法稍加修改、甚至不加修改就可以套用到 IT項目的管理實踐中。
本書的讀者對象主要為 IT行業的項目經理和管理人員，亦可供高等學校項目管理專業、計算機專業、軟體工程專業等相關學科的本科生、研究生作為學習 IT項目管理的教材和教輔之用。
圖書目錄
第1部分 方法篇
第1章 細化、量化與圖形化方法綜述····3
1.1 IT項目量化管理的必要性·····················3
1.1.1 IT行業的重要性························3
1.1.2 IT項目面臨的主要困難············4
1.1.3 IT項目實施量化管理的意義····7
1.2 文化差異對管理理念的影響··················7
1.3 細化管理方法··········································9
1.4 量化管理方法··········································10
1.5 圖形化方法··············································11
1.6 細化、量化與圖形化方法的適用性······12
第2章 IT項目管理的細化方法 ················13
2.1 IT項目細化管理的主要對象·················14
2.1.1 PMBOK項目管理模型·············14
2.1.2 Prince2項目管理模型···············16
2.1.3 IT項目細化管理對象映射關係·············································18
2.2 非結構化細化方法··································19
2.3 結構化細化方法······································20
2.3.1 WBS分解方法···························21
2.3.2 IPO分解方法·····························31
2.3.3 魚刺圖分解方法·························33
2.3.4 檢查單·········································35
2.3.5 風險分解結構方法·····················37
第3章 構建IT項目管理指標體系 ··········53
3.1 ISO 15939標準的項目指標····················54
3.2 SEI的項目指標 ·······································58
3.3 ISBSG的項目指標··································59
3.4 美國NASA項目指標·····························66
3.5 SPR的項目指標······································69
3.6 班加羅爾SPIN的項目指標···················72
3.7 IT項目管理指標體系比較·····················73
第4章 IT項目管理指標度量與計算 ·······77
4.1 “4+4”指標體系結構概述····················78
4.2 範圍指標··················································80
4.3 時間指標··················································83
4.4 成本指標··················································83
4.5 質量指標··················································85
4.6 生產率······················································89
4.7 交付率······················································90
4.8 缺陷率······················································91
4.9 變化率······················································93
第5章 IT項目管理指標統計基礎 ············95
5.1 統計的基本概念······································96
5.2 常用統計量··············································97
5.2.1 度量數據集中程度的統計量·····98
5.2.2 度量數據離散程度的統計量·····101
5.2.3 度量分布形態的統計量·············106
5.3 機率分布··················································107
2.3.6 數據流圖方法·····························39
2.3.7 用例圖方法·································42
2.3.8 功能點方法·································43
5.3.1 機率定義·····································107
5.3.2 離散型隨機變數及其機率分布·108
5.3.3 連續型隨機變數·························109
5.3.4 常態分配·····································110
5.4 常用抽樣分布··········································112
5.4.1 常態分配導出的3個重要分布·112
IT項目量化管理 IT項目量化管理──細化、量化與圖形化最佳實踐
5.4.2中心極限定理·····························113
5.4.3樣本比例的抽樣分布·················114
5.4.4 兩個樣本平均值之差的分布·····115
第6章 IT項目管理指標的參數估計與假設檢驗········································117
6.1 參數估計··················································117
6.1.1 參數估計概念·····························117
6.1.2 一個總體參數的區間估計·········119
6.1.3 兩個總體參數的區間估計·········124
6.1.4 確定樣本容量·····························128
6.2 假設檢驗··················································130
6.2.1 假設檢驗基本概念·····················130
6.2.2 一個總體參數的假設檢驗·········133
6.2.3 兩個總體參數的假設檢驗·········137
第7章IT項目管理指標的列聯分析與方差分析········································143
7.1 列聯分析··················································141
7.1.1 列聯分析概念·····························141
7.1.2 卡方（χ2）檢驗·······················143
7.1.3 相關係數·····································146
7.2 方差分析··················································148
7.2.1 方差分析基本概念·····················148
7.2.2 單因素方差分析·························149
7.2.3 雙因素方差分析·························153
第8章 IT項目管理指標的線性回歸分析·····················································157
8.1 一元線性回歸··········································157
8.1.1 相關關係·····································157
8.1.2 一元線性回歸模型·····················162
8.1.3 回歸直線的擬合優度·················164
8.1.4 回歸分析中的顯著性檢驗·········165
8.1.5 基於回歸方程進行預測·············168
8.1.6 殘差分析·····································170
8.2 多元線性回歸··········································172
8.2.1 多元線性回歸模型·····················172
8.2.2 多元線性回歸參數的最小二乘估計法·····································172
8.2.3 多元線性回歸的擬合優度和顯著性檢驗·································174
8.2.4 多重共線性·································177
8.2.5 基於多元線性回歸的預測·········177
第9章 IT項目管理指標的非線性回歸分析············································179
9.1 曲線類型····················································179
9.2 曲線回歸····················································184
9.3 曲線回歸示例············································185
第10章 IT項目管理常用參數模型 ·········189
10.1 COCOMOⅡ模型····································190
10.2 SLIM模型···············································194
10.3 SEER—SEM模型···································196
10.4 ISBSG模型·············································197
10.5 其他冪函式模型······································199
10.6 IT項目量化模型發展趨勢·····················200
10.6.1 神經網路模型···························200
10.6.2 貝葉斯信任網路模型···············201
10.6.3 支持向量機模型·······················202
第11章 IT項目管理狀態的圖形化顯示 207
11.1 折線圖······················································210
11.1.1 圖形說明···································210
11.1.2 套用示例···································210
11.2 直方圖······················································213
11.2.1 圖形說明···································213
11.2.2 套用示例···································214
11.3 餅圖··························································216
11.3.1 圖形說明···································216
11.3.2 套用示例···································216
11.4 散點圖······················································218
11.4.1 圖形說明···································218
11.4.2 套用示例···································218
11.5 帕累托圖··················································220
11.5.1 圖形說明···································220
11.5.2 套用示例···································221
11.5.3 套用示例···································221
11.6 箱線圖······················································222
11.6.1 圖形說明···································222
11.6.2 套用示例···································222
11.7 氣泡圖······················································223
11.7.1 圖形說明···································223
11.7.2 套用示例···································224
11.8 甘特圖······················································225
11.8.1 圖形說明···································225
第2部分
第12章 IT項目可行性分析量化方法 ·····231
12.1 IT項目可行性分析主要內容·················233
12.2 層次分析方法··········································235
12.3 投資回報分析方法··································238
12.3.1 靜態指標計算···························238
12.3.2 動態指標計算···························240
12.4 投資決策準則分析方法··························242
12.5 風險決策樹分析方法······························244
第13章 IT項目需求管理量化方法 ·········245
13.1 IT項目需求管理主要內容·····················246
13.1.1 需求評審工作內容···················246
13.1.2 需求變更管理工作內容···········248
13.1.3 需求跟蹤的主要內容···············249
13.2 需求評審量化評價方法··························250
13.3 需求變更管理量化評價方法··················255
13.4 需求跟蹤量化評價方法··························259
第14章 IT項目進度管理量化方法 ·········265
14.1 IT項目進度管理主要內容·····················266
14.2 IT項目進度管理主要方法·····················268
14.2.1 “1-2”WBS細化粒度············268
14.2.2 “月—周—日”WBS更新視窗···········································270
14.2.3 “組員優先”估計方法···········271
14.2.4 三點法·····································273
14.2.5 關鍵路徑法·······························274
14.2.6 計畫評審技術（PERT）·········277
Contents
11.8.2 套用示例···································225
11.9 S型曲線···················································226
11.9.1 圖形說明···································226
11.9.2 套用示例···································226
11.10 雷達圖····················································228
11.10.1 圖形說明·································228
11.10.2 套用示例·································229
套用篇
14.2.7 工期儲備法·······························279
14.2.8 DELPHI方法···························281
14.2.9 類比法·······································283
14.2.10 參數法·····································284
14.2.11 資源平滑法·····························284
14.2.12 資源平衡法·····························287
14.2.13 關鍵鏈法·································288
14.2.14 快速跟蹤法·····························290
14.2.15 趕工法·····································290
第15章 IT項目成本管理量化方法 ·········293
15.1 IT項目成本管理主要內容·····················294
15.2 IT項目成本管理的相關量化方法·········295
15.2.1 IT項目成本科目設定··············295
15.2.2 人力成本分攤法·······················296
15.2.3 人力成本等價法·······················299
15.2.4 資產折舊算法···························300
15.2.5 人均功能點負荷法···················303
15.2.6 部門資源匯總法·······················304
15.2.7 “7-8-9”法則··························309
15.2.8 掙值管理方法···························310
第16章 IT項目質量管理量化方法 ·········319
16.1 IT項目質量管理主要內容·····················320
16.2 IT項目質量目標設定·····························322
16.3 評審缺陷量化分析方法··························323
16.4 失效模式影響分析··································326
16.5 測試缺陷量化分析方法··························328
16.6 軟體產品質量評價方法··························333
IT項目量化管理 IT項目量化管理
──細化、量化與圖形化最佳實踐
16.7 質量成本分析方法··································336
第17章 IT項目人員管理量化方法 ·········341
17.1 IT項目人員管理主要內容·····················342
17.2 IT項目干係人評價模型·························344
17.2.1識別IT項目干係人·················344
17.2.2分析IT項目干係人·················346
17.2.3IT項目干係人行為的量化評價···········································348
17.3 項目組成員“入伙評價”模型··············351
17.4 能力差異模型··········································353
17.5 IT項目人員績效考核模型·····················356
17.5.1確定績效考評內容···················357
17.5.2設定績效考評標準···················358
17.5.3執行項目績效考評···················359
17.5.4確定項目績效獎金···················363
第18章 IT項目風險管理量化方法 ·········367
18.1 IT項目風險管理主要內容·····················367
18.2 風險機率影響矩陣··································369
18.3 失效模式影響分析方法··························371
18.4 層次分析方法··········································371
18.5 風險決策樹方法······································371
18.6 風險預算方法··········································372
18.7 馬爾科夫分析方法··································374
18.8 蒙特卡洛模擬分析方法··························376
附錄 A 標準常態分配表································379
附錄 B t分布表 ···············································383
附錄 C F分布表 ···············································385
附錄 D 卡方分布表·········································399
附錄 E 隨書資源說明·····································401
參考文獻·······························································405
